30 Aug · 18:50 MESZMedium · Model Lean
ZZ
🇨🇿Zdenek Zahradka
ELO 1455
FormLWLWW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Sulc
MS
🇨🇿Martin Sulc
ELO 1557
FormLWLLW
42%
58%
Fair odds · Sulc
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 69% · 1.45· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~74 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+102
H2H13-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+102)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (13-3)