30 Aug · 22:20 MESZLow · Coin Flip
PC
🇨🇿Pavel Cibik
ELO 1533
FormWWWLL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Zeman
RZ
🇨🇿Radek Zeman
ELO 1535
FormLWLLL
50%
50%
Fair odds · Zeman
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+2
H2H8-12
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.