30 Aug · 17:50 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MS
🇨🇿Martin Sulc
ELO 1557
FormLWLLW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Rek
AR
🇨🇿Adam Martin Rek
ELO 1625
FormWLWWW
44%
56%
🌟Sulc covers set handicap as underdog 64% (125)
Fair odds · Rek
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~75 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+68
H2H30-26
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+68)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (30-26)