30 Aug · 21:50 MESZLow · Coin Flip
ZV
🇨🇿Zbynek Vyskocil
ELO 1517
FormWWWWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Zeman
RZ
🇨🇿Radek Zeman
ELO 1535
FormLWLLL
49%
51%
Fair odds · Zeman
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+18
H2H1-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.