30 Aug · 17:20 MESZLow · Slight Edge
AL
🇨🇿Ales Langer
ELO 1502
FormLWWLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Langer
ZZ
🇨🇿Zdenek Zahradka
ELO 1458
FormLWLWL
54%
46%
🌟Langer rarely covers set handicap as favourite 36% (100)
Fair odds · Langer
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+44
H2H12-9
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.