30 Aug · 17:55 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
LS
🇨🇿Lukas Soucek
ELO 1511
FormLLLLW
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Stusek
MS
🇨🇿Martin Stusek
ELO 1642
FormWLWLL
39%
61%
🌟Stusek rarely covers set handicap as favourite 36% (94)
Fair odds · Stusek
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 44%Total ~75 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
21%
2-3
16%
3-2
16%
3-1
15%
Elo Gap+131
H2H22-21
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+131)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (22-21)