30 Aug · 21:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PC
🇨🇿Pavel Cibik
ELO 1533
FormWWWLL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Cibik
TJ
🇨🇿Tomas Cerveny Jr
ELO 1431
FormWLWLL
58%
42%
Fair odds · Cibik
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 29% · 3.44· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~76 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+102
H2H15-50
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+102)