30 Aug · 19:35 MESZLow · Slight Edge
ML
🇨🇿Michal Lysakowski
ELO 1621
FormWWLLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Lysakowski
MG
🇨🇿Mateusz Galus
ELO 1592
FormLWWWL
52%
48%
Fair odds · Lysakowski
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 53% · 1.88· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~79 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
16%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+29
H2H52-49
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.