30 Aug · 22:35 MESZLow · Slight Edge
BM
🇨🇿Bartlomiej Molka
ELO 1509
FormWLLLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Masternak
JM
🇨🇿Jan Masternak
ELO 1557
FormLWWLW
46%
54%
Fair odds · Masternak
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~79 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+48
H2H113-107
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.