31 Aug · 08:10 MESZLow · Slight Edge
RB
🇨🇿Radek Benes
ELO 1521
FormWLLLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Jr
DJ
🇨🇿Dalibor Velky Jr
ELO 1567
FormLWWWL
46%
54%
🔥 Underdog lean · Benes🌟Jr rarely covers set handicap as favourite 36% (86)
Fair odds · Jr
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~78 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+46
H2H25-28
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.