31 Aug · 10:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JS
🇨🇿Jachym Sebl
ELO 1493
FormLWLWW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Sebl
AJ
🇨🇿Ales Brandtl Jr
ELO 1384
FormWLWLL
59%
41%
Fair odds · Sebl
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 69% · 1.45· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~77 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+109
H2H23-11
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+109)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (23-11)