31 Aug · 08:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DP
🇨🇿Dominik Pawlik
ELO 1545
FormWLLLL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Pawlik
LK
🇨🇿Lukas Kantor
ELO 1469
FormLWWWW
56%
44%
🔥 Underdog lean · Kantor🌟Pawlik rarely covers set handicap as favourite 37% (52)
Fair odds · Pawlik
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 62% · 1.60· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+76
H2H10-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+76)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (10-6)