31 Aug · 12:20 MESZLow · Slight Edge
VJ
🇨🇿Vaclav Hejda Jr
ELO 1567
FormWWWLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Jr
JV
🇨🇿Jan Vonasek
ELO 1548
FormLWWWL
52%
48%
Fair odds · Jr
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 44% · 2.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+19
H2H41-52
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.