31 Aug · 10:10 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DJ
🇨🇿Dalibor Velky Jr
ELO 1567
FormLWWWL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Jr
AC
🇨🇿Ales Cizek
ELO 1500
FormLWWLL
56%
44%
🔥 Underdog lean · Cizek🌟Jr rarely covers set handicap as favourite 36% (86)
Fair odds · Jr
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+67
H2H21-13
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+67)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (21-13)