31 Aug · 12:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MH
🇨🇿Matej Holub
ELO 1558
FormWWLWW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Holub
KL
🇨🇿Krystof Lahodny
ELO 1455
FormLLLLW
58%
42%
Fair odds · Holub
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~75 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+103
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+103)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)