31 Aug · 13:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
VJ
🇨🇿Vaclav Hejda Jr
ELO 1567
FormWWWLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Rek
AR
🇨🇿Adam Martin Rek
ELO 1633
FormWWLWL
45%
55%
🌟Jr covers set handicap as underdog 72% (134)
Fair odds · Rek
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+66
H2H39-25
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+66)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (39-25)