31 Aug · 11:25 MESZLow · Coin Flip
LR
🇨🇿Lukas Dominik Rek
ELO 1570
FormLLWWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Knazik
OK
🇨🇿Ondrej Knazik
ELO 1582
FormLWWWW
49%
51%
🔥 Underdog lean · Rek🌟Rek covers set handicap as underdog 69% (29)
Fair odds · Knazik
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+12
H2H3-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.