31 Aug · 12:40 MESZMedium · Model Lean
TK
🇨🇿Tomas Krenek
ELO 1619
FormLWWWW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Krenek
MM
🇨🇿Michal Moravec
ELO 1529
FormLLLLW
57%
43%
🔥 Underdog lean · Moravec🌟Krenek rarely covers set handicap as favourite 33% (85)
Fair odds · Krenek
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+90
H2H21-18
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+90)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (21-18)