31 Aug · 09:40 MESZMedium · Model Lean
TK
🇨🇿Tomas Krenek
ELO 1619
FormLWWWW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Krenek
RB
🇨🇿Radek Benes
ELO 1521
FormWLLLW
58%
42%
🔥 Underdog lean · Benes🌟Krenek rarely covers set handicap as favourite 33% (85)
Fair odds · Krenek
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~78 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+98
H2H66-66
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+98)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)