31 Aug · 11:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
PG
🇨🇿Pawel Gola
ELO 1554
FormWLLWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Radlo
SR
🇨🇿Szymon Radlo
ELO 1582
FormLWLWW
48%
52%
Fair odds · Radlo
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 50% · 2.02· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~80 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
16%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+28
H2H40-40
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.