31 Aug · 12:00 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MS
🇨🇿Marcin Stepien
ELO 1638
FormLLLLL
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Stepien
BM
🇨🇿Bartlomiej Molka
ELO 1512
FormLLWWL
60%
40%
Fair odds · Stepien
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 68% · 1.48· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 44%Total ~78 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
21%
3-2
16%
2-3
16%
1-3
15%
Elo Gap+126
H2H107-77
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+126)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (107-77)