31 Aug · 17:15 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JG
🇨🇿Jan Gembala
ELO 1611
FormWLLWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Gembala
JR
🇨🇿Jonas Rak
ELO 1555
FormLLWLW
55%
45%
🔥 Underdog lean · Rak🌟Gembala rarely covers set handicap as favourite 33% (79)
Fair odds · Gembala
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 38% · 2.67· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~75 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+56
H2H1-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+56)