31 Aug · 18:15 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MZ
🇨🇿Marek Zaskodny
ELO 1489
FormLLLLW
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Gembala
JG
🇨🇿Jan Gembala
ELO 1611
FormWLLWW
40%
60%
🔥 Underdog lean · Zaskodny🌟Gembala rarely covers set handicap as favourite 33% (79)
Fair odds · Gembala
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 44% · 2.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~77 pts
1-3
23%
2-3
19%
0-3
19%
3-1
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+122
H2H8-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+122)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (8-7)