31 Aug · 18:10 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PC
🇨🇿Peter Chvojka
ELO 1431
FormLWWLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Matus
JM
🇨🇿Jiri Matus
ELO 1486
FormWLWLW
45%
55%
🔥 Underdog lean · Chvojka🌟Matus rarely covers set handicap as favourite 36% (59)
Fair odds · Matus
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 41% · 2.43· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+55
H2H0-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+55)