31 Aug · 20:50 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MD
🇨🇿Marek Dlask
ELO 1472
FormLWWWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Vich
LV
🇨🇿Lukas Vich
ELO 1502
FormLLWWW
48%
52%
🔥 Underdog lean · Dlask🌟Vich rarely covers set handicap as favourite 32% (66)
Fair odds · Vich
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 69% · 1.45· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
16%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+30
H2H8-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.