31 Aug · 16:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MD
🇨🇿Milan Dvorak
ELO 1463
FormLWLLL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Melichar
JM
🇨🇿Jiri Melichar
ELO 1548
FormLLLLW
43%
57%
🔥 Underdog lean · Dvorak🌟Melichar rarely covers set handicap as favourite 29% (34)
Fair odds · Melichar
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 41% · 2.43· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+85
H2H0-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+85)