31 Aug · 18:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JC
🇨🇿Jiri Cerny
ELO 1437
FormLLLWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Tichy
DT
🇨🇿Dominik Tichy
ELO 1494
FormLWWWL
45%
55%
🌟Cerny stays under total as underdog 64% (14)
Fair odds · Tichy
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~74 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+57
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+57)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)