31 Aug · 17:45 MESZLow · Slight Edge
PV
🇨🇿Petr Vicherek
ELO 1601
FormWWLLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Vicherek
JR
🇨🇿Jonas Rak
ELO 1555
FormLLWLW
54%
46%
🔥 Underdog lean · Rak🌟Vicherek rarely covers set handicap as favourite 38% (53)
Fair odds · Vicherek
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~74 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+46
H2H3-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.