31 Aug · 19:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
RN
🇨🇿Rostislav Niezgoda
ELO 1666
FormLLWWL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Niezgoda
RK
🇨🇿Rene Kowal
ELO 1571
FormLWWLL
58%
42%
Fair odds · Niezgoda
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 61% · 1.64· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~76 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+95
H2H37-32
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+95)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (37-32)