31 Aug · 16:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JC
🇨🇿Jiri Cerny
ELO 1437
FormLLLWL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Beran
MB
🇨🇿Matej Beran
ELO 1533
FormLWLWW
42%
58%
🌟Beran rarely covers set handicap as favourite 29% (34)
Fair odds · Beran
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~75 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+96
H2H1-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+96)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)