31 Aug · 18:25 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JM
🇨🇿Jiri Melichar
ELO 1548
FormLLLLW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Melichar
JH
🇨🇿Jan Hendrych
ELO 1542
FormLWWWL
50%
50%
🔥 Underdog lean · Hendrych🌟Melichar rarely covers set handicap as favourite 29% (34)
Fair odds · Melichar
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+6
H2H2-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.