31 Aug · 17:20 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
JC
🇨🇿Jiri Cerny
ELO 1437
FormLLLWL
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Moravec
PM
🇨🇿Petr Moravec
ELO 1582
FormWWLWL
38%
62%
🌟Cerny stays under total as underdog 64% (14)
Fair odds · Moravec
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~74 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
22%
2-3
17%
3-2
15%
3-1
14%
Elo Gap+145
H2H11-9
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+145)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (11-9)