31 Aug · 16:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MK
🇨🇿Martin Kucera
ELO 1584
FormLWWLW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Kucera
JR
🇨🇿Jakub Ruzicka
ELO 1491
FormLLWLL
58%
42%
Fair odds · Kucera
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 59% · 1.71· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~77 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+93
H2H5-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+93)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (5-2)