31 Aug · 18:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JR
🇨🇿Jakub Ruzicka
ELO 1513
FormWWLLW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Mastera
MM
🇨🇿Martin Mastera
ELO 1576
FormWWLLW
45%
55%
🌟Mastera rarely covers set handicap as favourite 33% (12)
Fair odds · Mastera
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 59% · 1.69· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+63
H2H9-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+63)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (9-6)