31 Aug · 21:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
WA
🇨🇿Wiekiera Arkadiusz
ELO 1549
FormLLLWW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Patryk
KP
🇨🇿Kiejda Patryk
ELO 1630
FormWWLWL
43%
57%
Fair odds · Patryk
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 56% · 1.77· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~80 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+81
H2H23-19
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+81)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (23-19)