31 Aug · 22:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PO
🇨🇿Piotr Odelski
ELO 1532
FormWWWWL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Patryk
KP
🇨🇿Kiejda Patryk
ELO 1623
FormLWWLW
43%
57%
Fair odds · Patryk
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 57% · 1.75· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~76 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+91
H2H4-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+91)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-1)