1 Sept · 11:40 MESZLow · Slight Edge
AC
🇨🇿Ales Cizek
ELO 1493
FormLLLWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Cizek
TK
🇨🇿Tomas Kindl
ELO 1466
FormWWLLW
52%
48%
🔥 Underdog lean · Kindl🌟Kindl goes over total as underdog 66% (62)
Fair odds · Cizek
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 44% · 2.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+27
H2H9-9
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.