1 Sept · 10:15 MESZLow · Slight Edge
BM
🇨🇿Bruno Mrowetz
ELO 1561
FormLWLWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Mrowetz
IH
🇨🇿Ivan Heuman
ELO 1532
FormWLWWW
52%
48%
🔥 Underdog lean · Heuman🌟Heuman covers set handicap as underdog 74% (54)
Fair odds · Mrowetz
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 41% · 2.43· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~80 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
16%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+29
H2H3-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.