1 Sept · 08:45 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JK
🇨🇿Jan Krupnik
ELO 1558
FormLWLWW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Mrowetz
BM
🇨🇿Bruno Mrowetz
ELO 1561
FormLWLWL
50%
50%
🔥 Underdog lean · Mrowetz🌟Krupnik covers set handicap as underdog 65% (77)
Fair odds · Mrowetz
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~78 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+3
H2H15-22
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.