1 Sept · 08:15 MESZLow · Slight Edge
TG
🇨🇿Tomas Grmela
ELO 1520
FormWWWLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Mrowetz
BM
🇨🇿Bruno Mrowetz
ELO 1561
FormLWLWL
47%
53%
Fair odds · Mrowetz
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~78 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+41
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.