1 Sept · 09:10 MESZLow · Slight Edge
FM
🇨🇿Filip Mandrysz
ELO 1446
FormWLLLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Strelec
AS
🇨🇿Adam Strelec
ELO 1483
FormWLLLL
47%
53%
🌟Strelec rarely covers set handicap as favourite 34% (32)
Fair odds · Strelec
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 44% · 2.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+37
H2H7-10
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.