1 Sept · 13:10 MESZMedium · Model Lean
TK
🇨🇿Tomas Kindl
ELO 1466
FormWWLLW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Krupnik
JK
🇨🇿Jan Krupnik
ELO 1558
FormLWLWW
42%
58%
🔥 Underdog lean · Kindl🌟Kindl goes over total as underdog 66% (62)
Fair odds · Krupnik
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~77 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+92
H2H16-9
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+92)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (16-9)