1 Sept · 12:40 MESZLow · Slight Edge
AC
🇨🇿Ales Cizek
ELO 1493
FormLLLWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Moravec
MM
🇨🇿Michal Moravec
ELO 1522
FormLLWLL
48%
52%
🔥 Underdog lean · Cizek🌟Cizek covers set handicap as underdog 63% (82)
Fair odds · Moravec
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
16%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+29
H2H9-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.