1 Sept · 10:10 MESZLow · Slight Edge
LS
🇨🇿Lukas Krupnik Snr
ELO 1467
FormWLLLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Snr
FM
🇨🇿Filip Mandrysz
ELO 1446
FormWLLLL
52%
48%
🌟Snr rarely covers set handicap as favourite 26% (19)
Fair odds · Snr
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~74 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+21
H2H4-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.