1 Sept · 10:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DV
🇨🇿David Vesecky
ELO 1728
FormLWLLW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Vesecky
MB
🇨🇿Michal Brozek
ELO 1619
FormLLWLW
59%
41%
🔥 Underdog lean · Brozek
Fair odds · Vesecky
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~75 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+109
H2H48-21
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+109)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (48-21)