1 Sept · 14:10 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MM
🇨🇿Michal Moravec
ELO 1522
FormLLWLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Moravec
TK
🇨🇿Tomas Kindl
ELO 1466
FormWWLLW
55%
45%
🔥 Underdog lean · Kindl🌟Kindl goes over total as underdog 66% (62)
Fair odds · Moravec
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+56
H2H2-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+56)