1 Sept · 13:05 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MH
🇨🇿Matej Holub
ELO 1562
FormLWWWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Holub
RN
🇨🇿Radek Neterda
ELO 1546
FormLWWLL
51%
49%
🌟Neterda covers set handicap as underdog 62% (32)
Fair odds · Holub
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+16
H2H3-11
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.