1 Sept · 13:55 MESZLow · Slight Edge
AL
🇨🇿Ales Langer
ELO 1523
FormWWWLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Jr
VJ
🇨🇿Vaclav Hejda Jr
ELO 1570
FormWWLLW
46%
54%
🔥 Underdog lean · Langer🌟Langer covers set handicap as underdog 64% (140)
Fair odds · Jr
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+47
H2H55-56
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.