1 Sept · 13:40 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AC
🇨🇿Ales Cizek
ELO 1493
FormLLLWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Krupnik
JK
🇨🇿Jan Krupnik
ELO 1558
FormLWLWW
45%
55%
🔥 Underdog lean · Cizek🌟Krupnik rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (81)
Fair odds · Krupnik
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~75 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+65
H2H9-8
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+65)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (9-8)