1 Sept · 13:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JS
🇨🇿Jan Skvrna
ELO 1621
FormLWLWL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Skvrna
TG
🇨🇿Tomas Grmela
ELO 1520
FormWWWLW
58%
42%
🌟Skvrna rarely covers set handicap as favourite 32% (126)
Fair odds · Skvrna
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~76 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+101
H2H4-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+101)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-1)